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Tax rises are set to follow next week’s tax cuts, ministers admitted yesterday as Gordon Brown raised the spectre of deflation in Britain for the first time.
David Cameron predicted a tax-raising “bombshell” after Lord Mandelson, the Business Secretary, spoke of the need for “structural adjustments later on” and Mr Brown himself accepted that the Pre-Budget Report (PBR) stimulus would be “temporary”.
Their remarks reflected the strong Treasury view that next week’s tax cut and spending package from the Chancellor, Alistair Darling, must be accompanied by evidence that he intends to get soaring borrowing back on course over the medium term. That should mean tax rises, spending cuts or both.
As the Prime Minister, reporting back to MPs from the Washington summit, predicted that governments across the world would soon be cutting taxes or raising spending, Mr Cameron told him to come clean and admit that his higher borrowing meant “higher taxes tomorrow”.
The Conservative leader said that Mr Brown was planning a “borrowing bombshell, which will soon become a tax bombshell”. Tax cuts should be for life, not just for Christmas, he added.
But the Prime Minister accused the Tories of failing to understand that, while the problem in recent years had been inflation, next year the problem was “deflation and the problem of inflation close to zero”. Deflation means a period of consistently falling prices that can stall economic activity and eventually lead to depression.
Yesterday’s clash came after Citigroup, the world’s biggest bank, said that it would be cutting 52,000 jobs worldwide, with an unspecified number to go from its London offices and other businesses in Britain.
After a meeting with José Manuel Barroso, the EU President, Mr Brown said that Britain, like many other European countries, was ready to make its contribution “for a temporary and affordable fiscal stimulus”.
He was clearly trying to reassure the markets that the PBR will contain proposals to get the economy back on course after the recession. He added that the need for a fiscal stimulus — “within a medium-term framework of fiscal sustainability” — was accepted across the world.
Employing an alternative euphemism, Lord Mandelson spoke of the need for a “medium-term adjustment” some years ahead. “I’ve already said that, if you take action now to expand borrowing, you know you’ll have to make structural adjustments later on. But that is later on, when we’re through this recession as we will get through,” he told the BBC.
Mr Cameron will deliver a speech on the economy today as he tries to pre-empt the impact of next week’s tax measures, which are aimed mainly at those on low incomes.
Mr Brown told MPs that most economic forecasts had assumed the absence of co-ordinated fiscal action but the downturn could be shorter and less severe if Britain and other countries took action. He pointed to the acceptance by Barack Obama, the President-elect, that a stimulus package in the United States was both necessary and urgent.
Mr Brown again paved the way for imminent tax cuts when he promised “real help for families and businesses”. It made sense for the Government to support interest-rate cuts with fiscal action, he added.
Later, when asked why the Prime Minister was now cautioning about deflation, his spokesman said: “This is obviously a risk.
“Clearly the Governor of the Bank of England was also talking about the risk last week, though both the Government and the Bank of England are making clear that is not our central forecast expectation.
“We have seen sharp falls in commodity prices and food prices in recent times, which is obviously of benefit to families, but if demand in the economy is too low, that carries significant risks as well.”
Alan Duncan, the Shadow Business Secretary, said that Lord Mandelson had admitted the truth — that taxes would rise after the election: “He has fessed up to what Gordon Brown is not prepared to admit, that unfunded tax cons now will leave taxpayers with a cripplingly expensive bill later.”
Nick Clegg, the Liberal Democrat leader, said it was right to give money back to people but, instead of borrowing for a one-off tax cut, he could get a permanent reduction for many by restructuring the system and ending loopholes for the wealthy. “The right thing to borrow for is not short-term cash bribes but long-term capital investment in infrastructure the country needs anyway,” Mr Clegg added.
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Will it be the same way he helped the less well off by "eliminating" the 10% tax-band?? Er....well, I mean doubled it up to 20%.....
Richard, Alicante, Spain
Here we petition the prime minister to resign due to gross financial incompetence in running the British economy:
http://petitions.number10.gov.uk/Fianance/
David Howard, London, UK
So i suspect some benefit's cheat will get more cash and my taxes will go up. CHEERS! thats really helps me. we're only borrowing so much because Mr Brown never saved any cash during the good times, instead spent more than he had. No1 culprit of borrowing, LABOUR PARTY
Sunny, Cov,
The traditional levers of the economy are broken; spiked by the level of debt, which is Brown's legacy. People will save and not spend any tax cuts. Cut interest rates all you want, banks will not lend. We should be looking to cut the level debt in the economy, not be looking to stoke it up again
Colin, Birmingham,
Now there's a novelty, a Brown tax cut that will cost you more. The sooner this incompetent is gone the better.
Dave Bridge, Southport, UK
I'm broke. You're broke. What we gonna do? I know, I'll lend you some money and you can lend me some money. We can even securitise the transactions and sell them on. Job done!
Anthony Price, Truro, Cornwall, UK
tax cuts before Christmas, election in the Spring, tax increases in the Summer
Mike, Sole Street, England
In 1997 if my memory serves me correctly, employers' NIC was 10.3% of base salary with no upper limit - it is now 12.8% a rise of 24%. Since this is a direct payroll tax paid even by companies that make a trading loss there is an obvious and simple adjustment to be made!
No tax credits please!
Mike , Newbury,
New Labour boasts it introduced the Minimum Wage
This has now been undermined due to the amount of tax the poorest workers in society pay.
Single adults and childless couples receive nothing they are being taxed to death
People go out to work to improve their lifestyle not to be worse off
Stephen Holmes, Withington, UK
Brown alone is responsible for the catastrophic state of the UK economy because it was his policies that encouraged the uncontrolled rise in borrowing and house prices. His legacy to the British people will be one of massive tax rises for generations to come to pay for his busted economy.
A.M. Williams, Stafford,
I notice once again it is families and business who will benifit. Business I agree with, but not all families are in need of assistance. Many singles and pensioners are on low incomes and need financial help as well, but are as usual they are excluded from the hand outs.
Surasak, Wimbourne Dorset, UK
Brown IS responsible for the collapse of the Uk economy. He allowed the unfinanced boom to occur creating the housing market bubble and now he is forced to condemn future generations unimaginable tax liabilities.
A.M. Williams, Stafford,
Temporary Brown, temporary stimulae, permanent debt and bankruptcy.
Gee, thanks Gordie! So much for your end to boom and bust. How foolish do you feel now?
Edwin, Bucharest,
This goverment is not on our side. Our economy is now the worst in the world, and they think we should be grateful to them for how 'well' they managing things.
Peter, London, UK
Fiscal Policy:
personal taxes go down + borrowing up
= demand up mostly for imports
Result? No British benefit and Pound goes down
Monetary Policy:
interest rates go down
= personal debt up mostly to buy imports
Result? No British benefit and Pound goes down
Pound down = Inflation up
Jim Murray, Liverpool, UK
Brown Failed as Minister for Finance and is again failing as Prime minister,However I guess Blair saw this coming and jumped ship just in time.
Bottom line is that the current leadership has been found wanting,big time.
If you dont have it,dont spend it
michael Wilkinson, TELFORD, UK
It is the way these bloody politicians claim success for every faux pas they are involved in that is so amazing. They stagger from disaster to disaster and walk off with complete immunity and handsome rewards for their endeavours whilst burdening everyones future with misery of high taxation
Mike O Connor, Plymouth,
Perhaps the Pirates in the Indian Ocean have been taking tips from Zanulab?
Rob Bain, Derby,
'blindingly obvious' I would have thought...
cww, Ipswich, UK
Will this all part of Browns' great socialist plot ? - tax increases for the hardworking middle classes enabling him to spend to his hearts' content and give free handouts to the poor? How long before the 'structural adjustment' is a top rate of income tax of more than 50% - not too long I think.
Steve, London, UK
I get confused over who is or is not talking down the Economy. Ideas anyone?
Mike, Huntingdon,
Brown's economic ideas reminds me of a bad gambler playing 'double or quits'. If we have to borrow more now why not fund the tax cuts with a temporary additional tax on profits from the bailed out banks and the sale of the cheap shares the Gov bought. Better this than Labour's hated middle England
Ben, Manchester, UK
A tax cut before the next election with a tax hike after?
We have heard this rubbish before.
Note the tax cut for families ... and then a wee bit more detail (joint income <£15K)
Couple with no kids, both working forget any tax cut.
Mandelson the Unelected Minister of Fat Cats
Rashef Kamill, Dover, England
I think Brown knows that he will get thrashed in 2010,what we will see before then is scorched earth policies hoping that they will be returned in 2014/5.His tax "give away" will be aimed at traditional labour voters i.e the low paid and breeders who cannot afford children and the benefit leechers.
Kenneth O'Boyle, Perth, UK
It's not our money he's spending, he's already squandered that. It's our childrens money this time, or is it our children's children's
Dave, Winchester,
No surprise here really! Everyone should know that its in one hand out of the other with any Government + a little bit extra!
Lee, Manchester,
Lower the tax rate, encourage people with no money to spend more, raise the rate and they will be poorer than they ever were. This will not encourage sensible people to spend but more to save as much as possible re any tax cuts and use this to pay the bills when the tax rate goes through the roof.
Sinead, Windsor,
I feel the proposed tax cuts will be the same as the 10p tax fiasco. Those of us who retired early from work, are under 60, have no dependant children, nor in receipt of Tax Credits will receive no help at all. What does Mr Darling or Mr Brown (which one is the Chancellor?) intend to do about this?
K Field, Lincoln, England
It is the people who can and do pay off their debts who will pick up the tab for the criminal lending practices of the banks here and across the globe. The same people will also have to stump up for higher taxes to pay off the bribes Labour plans to give to those on low pay and the welfare state.
David Smith, Stourbridge, UK
I would suggest that any tax cuts are likely to be ineffective since expectations of future tax rises are now set. Given a tax cut this year only to pay higher taxes next year, and given the expected rise in unemployment, what would you do? Save.
malcolm, ely,
So the responsible poor will be taxed yet again to give handouts to the irresponsible breeders, and then taxed more later. Brown is a smug naive fool who is single handedly wrecking Britain, and the opposition is deafeningly inadequate. We are all well stuffed.
C Smith, Norwich, UK
With oil prices having dropped like a stone since July why o' why haven't fuel prices dropped considerably as well back to about 75p a litre. Dropping fuel prices will drop inflation.
Louis, Liverpool, UK
Am I the only one who thinks that the fiscal and monetary powers of the State should be beyond the reach of professional politicians?
James David, Newcastle upon Tyne,
this government has set an irresponsible example from day 1. why would it change now? tax up in the medium-term.... ha! as if gordon will be around after the next election. he should be in prison, but he'll be touring his speech.
jem, london, uk
They are targetting the wrong people/and or Labour voters primarily and this money will only buy a few extra beers and presents over Christmas!
We need business to get us out of this - to create jobs, create wealth and stabilise our economy - not tricks to bribe voters/the poor
G Morgan, Worcester,
usually im the first one to clamour for a tax cut. but these cuts arent structural, they are a bribe, that will cost us far more in the medium term than they will save us in the short term. our ecconomy needs to ween itself off public spending and thinking high street shopping is the cure all.
will, grimsby, uk
To give us tax cuts now is, in my opinion, a very short sighted view on things. We the public will end up storing up bigger debts as a whole and action like this could cause an even bigger recession than the one we're about to face now (although that would probably be AFTER the general election!)
Paul Simms, London, England
There will be a gilt buyers strike. The IMF will have no money left to help us.
So to restore credibility, Public sector borrowing levels and thus total government spending must now be set not by politicians but by the BoE. It was good for interest rate policy and will be good for funding.
N Reed, London, UK
As is the same with all Labour policies, one group get the benefit (rights) and another group pay for it (responsibility).
Bye bye Brown, the middle classes have had enough of it.
Ian, Tokyo, Japan
I don't think I've ever come across such a financially naive politician in all my life. Brown, get out now before we all go bankrupt.
Paul, Milton Keynes, UK
It wouldn't be so bad if the people who benefit from the forecast tax cuts are the same as those who will pay the brunt of the tax rises.
But I somehow doubt it.
John Wood, Hull, UK
So once again the Government orders us to eat drink and be merry today pay the bill later, preferably after the next election. On whose side are they?
S Yogarajah, Harrow, UK